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The Avoided-Cost-of-Pruning Model applies financial concepts to determine the value of avoided pruning and provides the net present value, the payback period and the internal rate of return. These are time-tested measures that are commonly used in business to assess the viability of projects.
Does applying financial concepts seem too rigorous - overkill? Does it seem pretty apparent that when you have an opportunity to get rid of cycle busters trees through an offer of tree replacement that this represents a saving? Well, that isn't necessarily so. Without doing a financial assessment you can't prove that the tree replacement is financially sound. Getting rid of cycle busters is certainly appealing because it's annoying to manage the associated safety and reliability risks but that doesn't mean it's sound business practice.
Currently, few utilities do apply financial assessments for tree replacement on a site-by-site basis either because the competence to do so doesn't exist or because it would be too costly. Rather, someone makes a subjective determination where tree replacement is suitable. In other words, the decision has little or no financial justification.
If you're a utility forester, I'm sure as most utility foresters do, you strive to provide economical service. But wouldn't it be better yet if you were could demonstrate how your processes serve the ratepayer's interest?
Whether oversight is provided by a PUC, city administration or a co-op board, fact-based decisions effectively resolve overseer concerns whereas subjective judgements represent potential areas of controversy that invite scrutiny. It's simply prudent to financially justify your tree replacement program and even your decision making process for removals.
Removals? Aren't removals a good thing?
Not always! If we examine the economics of tree removal vs. ongoing pruning we find that some removals have a negative present value. That is, it is actually cheaper to continue pruning. Naturally, there will be instances where the public relations benefits outweigh the financial considerations.
If you have unit costs for different diameter class tree removals you can use the Avoided-Cost-of-Pruning Model to determine when tree removals make financial sense and when they don't. I'll give you an illustration later but first let's get familiar with the Avoided-Cost-of-Pruning Model.
Here's what the Avoided-Cost-of-Pruning Model looks like. It's an Excel spreadsheet.
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